Every goal, animated. Every prediction, graded. Europe's top clubs, the season's standout moments and special Spotlight deep dives, with the tactics drawn out move by move and explained in plain English.
Villa led 2–0 after four minutes and 4–2 after 53. United, with 26 shots to Villa's 12, drew level with two goals in stoppage time and are still 18th.
Open the full analysis →Every Arsenal match of 2026/27, all competitions.
Life after Guardiola: Maresca's first season.
Big matches, broken down move by move.
Iraola's first season at Anfield, animated.
Mourinho's return, animated.
Flick's high line and the Clásico, explained.
Kompany's Bayern and Kim Min-jae, big matches.
Keith Andrews' Brentford are sixth after seven league games, beaten for the first time by Liverpool on 17 October, finishing with nine men; in their first five games they spent barely three minutes behind. A side that gives up the ball, wins with set pieces and fast breaks, and keeps letting leads slip. How it works, four goals animated, and how to copy it in FM26.
The first league title in 22 years was deserved: Arsenal had the best chance difference in England. But they finished those chances worse than anyone near the top.
1st · 85 pts · Expected points 79.8 · Read the review →2025/26Manchester City · Season reviewThe best attack in England, shaken by every goalCity made more chances than anyone in the league and won both domestic cups in Guardiola's last season. The title slipped away in the minutes after goals: 20 points were dropped from winning positions.
2nd · 78 pts · Expected points 74.0 · Read the review →2025/26Manchester United · Season reviewSame chances, different results: the Carrick bounce in numbersUnited finished third and returned to the Champions League. The jump after the coaching change was real in points but not in chances: Carrick's side created and allowed about the same as Amorim's.
3rd · 71 pts · Expected points 64.4 · Read the review →2025/26Liverpool · Season reviewSlow to start, soft to finishThe champions' defence ended in fifth place. Liverpool's chances were good enough for fourth, so the drop was not mainly bad luck. They rarely scored early, conceded late, and the final two months fell apart.
5th · 60 pts · Expected points 61.5 · Read the review →2025/26Real Madrid · Season review86 points, no trophies, and an attack that fadedMadrid's points total would win many leagues, but it ran 10 points ahead of the chances. Under Arbeloa the attack made far fewer chances than under Alonso, and Courtois' end of the pitch kept the results afloat.
2nd · 86 pts · Expected points 76.0 · Read the review →2025/26FC Barcelona · Season reviewA perfect home record, a fearless high line and a goalkeeperBarcelona were the best team in Spain by a distance and won all 19 home league games. Their 94 points ran 15 ahead of the chances, the biggest gap of our seven clubs, and almost all of it came from the goalkeeper and defence, not the finishing.
1st · 94 pts · Expected points 79.1 · Read the review →2025/26FC Bayern München · Season review122 goals and one defeat: a season of total controlBayern broke the Bundesliga scoring record and lost one league game all season. They were the only club of our seven to score more goals than their chances were worth, mostly through Harry Kane, and the one that came back from behind most often.
1st · 89 pts · Expected points 77.5 · Read the review →| Date | Match | Competition | Kick-off | Model: club win / draw / loss | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 20 Nov 2026 | FC Bayern München v 1. FC Köln (home) | Bundesliga · Matchday 10 | 20:30 CET · 19:30 UK · 04:30 KST (Sat) | 87% / 8% / 4% | Preview → |
| Sat 21 Nov 2026 | Arsenal v Newcastle United (away) | Premier League · Matchday 11 | 17:30 GMT · 02:30 KST (Sun) | 60% / 23% / 16% | Preview → |
| Sat 21 Nov 2026 | Manchester City v Fulham (home) | Premier League · Matchday 11 | 12:30 GMT · 21:30 KST | 64% / 19% / 16% | Preview → |
| Sat 21 Nov 2026 | Real Madrid v RC Celta (home) | LaLiga · Matchday 13 | 21:00 CET · 05:00 KST (Sun) | 75% / 16% / 9% | Preview → |
| Sun 22 Nov 2026 | Manchester United v Liverpool (away) | Premier League · Matchday 11 | 16:30 GMT · 01:30 KST (Mon) | 27% / 21% / 52% | Preview → |
| Sun 22 Nov 2026 | Liverpool v Manchester United (home) | Premier League · Matchday 11 | 16:30 GMT · 01:30 KST (Mon) | 54% / 20% / 26% | Preview → |
| Sun 22 Nov 2026 | FC Barcelona v Villarreal CF (home) | LaLiga · Matchday 13 | 14:00 CET · 22:00 KST | 71% / 15% / 14% | Preview → |
Chances are for the club in bold. Each one is frozen before kick-off and graded after the match. Record so far: 32 of 56 called correctly (average Brier score 0.54). Two test models are graded on the same matches: shot-based 40 graded, Brier 0.60 · match engine 56 graded, Brier 0.70.
Villa led 2–0 after four minutes and 4–2 after 53. United, with 26 shots to Villa's 12, drew level with two goals in stoppage time and are still 18th.
8 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → PLLiverpool · 8 NovCrystal Palace 1–3 LiverpoolPalace had more of the ball and 19 shots, but Liverpool scored first from a front-post free kick and then twice on the break. Alisson made six saves, Wirtz scored his first league goal of the season, and two defeats in a row are over.
4 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → LaLigaFC Barcelona · 8 NovAtlético de Madrid 1–2 FC BarcelonaGiuliano Simeone scores from a ten-minute counter and Álvarez wastes more chances behind Barça's high line, but Fermín levels before half-time, Barça press again after it, and Yamal sets up Fermín's winner: three points clear at the top.
3 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → PLArsenal · 7 NovArsenal 1–0 Hull CityHull sat in a back five, and Arsenal needed 72 minutes and a rebound to get through it. Ødegaard's finish was Arteta's 34th 1–0 league win and put Arsenal six points clear.
1 goal animated · tactic breakdown · column → PLManchester City · 7 NovNottingham Forest 3–1 Manchester CityForest had 22% of the ball and scored three times from City mistakes and lost duels. Two down after 18 minutes, City lost a third league game in a row for the first time under Maresca.
4 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → LaLigaReal Madrid · 7 NovValencia CF 0–3 Real MadridValencia sat in a back five, and Madrid played around it and behind it. Valverde scored from a free-kick rebound, Güler scored one and made one, and Valencia managed four shots.
3 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → BLFC Bayern München · 7 Nov1. FSV Mainz 05 1–2 FC Bayern MünchenBayern had 69% of the ball at Mainz and won 2–1. Kane set up both goals, Kimmich's from a ball won after a Mainz goal kick, but Neuer went off injured on a record day and Mainz had a header ruled out for offside before half-time.
3 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → UCLArsenal · 4 NovSK Slavia Praha 1–2 ArsenalArsenal were 2–0 up at half-time and could have had more. Then Slavia went to a back three, had 16 shots to Arsenal's four after the break, and scored only in the 90th minute.
3 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → UCLManchester City · 4 NovRB Leipzig 2–3 Manchester CityCity led twice and were pegged back twice, then Haaland slid in at the back post. Leipzig had more shots, 14 to 12, but City's chances were worth more than twice as much: 2.20 xG to 0.87.
5 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → UCLLiverpool · 4 NovFenerbahçe 3–2 LiverpoolLiverpool led twice in Istanbul and lost 3–2. All three Fenerbahçe goals came from set pieces: a deflected free kick, a short corner and a throw-in, the last two at 73' and 79', after Isak had put Liverpool 2–1 up.
5 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → UCLReal Madrid · 4 NovAEK Athens 2–3 Real MadridAEK took the lead twice on the break, and Madrid came back twice from full-back crosses. Valverde, back from injury and on as a substitute, won it with a shot from distance in added time.
5 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → UCLManchester United · 3 NovManchester United 3–2 AS RomaTwo down at half-time against Roma's man-for-man press, United pressed back: a retaken Fernandes penalty and two Cunha goals in three minutes ended nine games without a win.
5 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column →